NJ-6: Governor Christie stumps for Anna Little
The Governor made an appearance at Anna Little’s campaign rally in Piscataway earlier today, before her debate with entrenched liberal incumbent, the 22-year congressman, Frank “I helped write Obamacare” Pallone.
Christie came out to introduce Little to the crowd and gave a classic Christie speech in support of the candidate. I caught some of his speech on my iPhone:
Say what you want about Christie, and as I’ve noted on this blog before, I wasn’t a fan before the 2009 election. But seeing what he’s done in less than a year, makes you proud to be conservative from New Jersey. It’s a relief to hear a Republican not apologize for being conservative.
Once Christie entered the hall, the place went nuts. I took some photos:
Look at that glare:
Here is the Governor telling us all to just STFU and vote on November 2nd:
The place was SRO, but I got there early and got a good spot before the place filled up. Notice the racist “Don’t Tread On Me” flag. This is New Jersey for pete’s sake, it’s happening all over:
More “afraid and confused” racists voters at the rally:
This sign got the Governor’s attention and pointed it out to the crowd:
Here’s my take on this race. New Jersey’s 6th District is historically a deep blue Democrat distrcit running northwest from Asbury Park in Monmouth County on the coast, into parts of Middlesex County, and President Obama won the district easily by a margin of 61-39. Pallone has been representing the district since George H. W. Bush was first elected President, a full eleven terms.
The latest polling has Pallone winning by 12 points and RCP recently moved the district from Safe Dem to Likely Dem. The problem for Pallone is that 12 points is less than half of the 30+ point advantage he usually gets at reelection:
“A 12 point lead may look comfortable, but not when you consider the fact that Pallone regularly wins reelection by more than 30 points,” Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said. “District demographics are the key to this race. Little does well in the independent-minded parts of the district. The question is whether it will be enough to overcome the built-in Democratic advantage here.”
Look at the last three election cycles for Pallone:
2008: Pallone (D) 67%, McLeod (R) 32%
2006: Pallone (D) 69%, Bellew (R) 30%
2004: Pallone (D) 67%, Fernandez (R) 31%
If you look at the most recent Monmouth University poll (PDF), you’ll find that Republicans are definitely not very popular in the district. But also worth noting is that 45% of respondents said they had “no opinion” of Anna Little. In other words, voters in the district really don’t know much about her. Voters here feel they don’t really have much of a choice, that it’s just automatic for Pallone to win. That’s not good for democracy.
The Little campaign is really energized about what they’re doing. Over the past few months, and few weeks especially, I’ve seen supporters all over the district, lawn signs are all over, even in the bluest of neighborhoods, they’ve been at local fall festivals, etc. I overheard one of Little’s campaign workers talk to some attendees at the rally who were obviously undecided, and he mentioned that at recent event where both candidates were present, about 106 Little supporters showed up versus 10 for Pallone. Take that for what it’s worth.
Turnout will be key to turn this district red, plain and simple. With a 12 point deficit and two weeks left, the campaign will certainly have its work cut out for it. It will be difficult, but not impossible.
Time is of the essence, so if you’re so inclined, throw the campaign a few shekels.