Home > Democrats > NY-9: Trouble for Obama, Dems? (UPDATE — Turner wins)

NY-9: Trouble for Obama, Dems? (UPDATE — Turner wins)

There’s a lot of talk about an upset in the making, although I’m not buying it.  The pessimist in me says there’s no way in hell a Republican can take this seat, even if it is the former seat of the disgraced Anthony Weiner.

But then there’s this from PPP”s recent polling on the race, which is truly  an eye-opener:

55% of voters in the district report having voted for Obama in 2008, which is the actual percentage of the vote he got in the district.  Last year a lot of the races Democrats lost were because their voters didn’t show up and the electorate was far more conservative than for a Presidential year.  When you lose that way you can say, well, our voters will come back out in 2012 and we’ll be fine.  But there is no enthusiasm gap here.  Obama voters are showing up in the same numbers they did in 2008.  But only 65% of them are voting Democratic.  That’s a really big cause for concern.

Ouch.  That’s gonna leave a mark.

[h/t:  Memeorandum]

UPDATE.  Turner wins handily, 53% – 46% over the Demcorat Weprin.  A big high-five goes out to Anthony Weiner for being a degenerate douche, President Obama for being a complete and utter failure, and a sincere thanks goes out to the people of NY-09, for putting country over party.

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