On a night when the news of Steve Jobs’ passing and Sarah Palin’s announcement not to run for president take place within two hours of each other, he chimes in comparing the two:
It’s a fitting comparison: achievement versus resentment, creativity versus narcissism, hope versus fear. I know which one will get the bigger headlines tomorrow. And there is some comfort in knowing it will pain her.
Yeah, Steve Jobs will be getting the headlines tomorrow, Andrew. The man just passed away after a life of changing the very fabric of our lives through technological innovations, the founder and leader of one of the most powerful companies in the world.
Palin merely announced she wasn’t running for office. One definitely takes precedent over the other in the news cycle. This, despite the importance that you, yourself, and your psychotic, obsessive ramblings about Palin and her uterus have placed on her.
The weed and the meds take its toll on the normalcy of the brain, Andrew. Stay classy.
While President Downgrade and a do-nothing Democratic leadership in Congress sit around calling fellow Americans terrorists for wanting lower taxes and lower government spending, some people are actually stepping up to the plate, and being brave about what needs to be done:
…[W]e need to get serious about our deficit. No more accounting gimmicks. No more cuts in “out-years” that never materialize. The permanent political class in D.C. might be fooling themselves with these Enron-like accounting games, but they’re not fooling the world’s capital markets. And we don’t need any more happy talk from the White House about “investing” in solar shingles and really fast trains. The White House shouldn’t even bother floating these new spending programs. We can’t afford them. Period.
We need to stop this deficit spending, balance our budget, repeal Obamacare, cancel all unused stimulus funds, and reform our entitlement programs. We have to have an adult conversation about our spending commitments; circumstances have changed, and we must adapt.
I know none of this will be easy, but, “thick” or not, the average American outside the D.C. politico bubble knows that we no longer have a choice! We will have entitlement reform and a balanced budget; it’s just a matter of how. We can do it ourselves in a calm, methodical, and responsible manner, or we can wait for the world’s capital markets to ram it down on us.
That’s from Sarah Palin’s new Facebook post, which is well worth reading in its entirety, especially in the light of the recent S&P downgrade, and volatility in world markets.
Forget T-Paw vs Mittens, or Cain vs whoever. Looks like the fireworks in the GOP 2012 fight are between
Rollins Bachmann and Palin:
Michele Bachmann’s new top consultant, Ed Rollins, began his tenure with scathing criticism of potential Bachmann rival Sarah Palin.
“Sarah has not been serious over the last couple of years,” Rollins told Brian Kilmeade on his radio show, Kilmeade and Friends. “She got the Vice Presidential thing handed to her, she didn’t go to work in the sense of trying to gain more substance, she gave up her governorship.”
I understand that this is what campaign consultants do, and Ed Rollins is all about Ed Rollins more than Michelle Bachmann. But but can anyone really disagree with his criticisms of Palin here? Palin fell out of favor with me after she resigned as governor of Alaska. She built some decent political capital, had a decent approval rating, etc. And not for nothing, but she has done a disservice to herself over the past few years and her ugly poll numbers will be tough to overcome.
UPDATE. The story gets a bit more interesting.
Regarding the tragedy in Arizona over the weekend, I’ve sat back and read and watched as much as I could as everything unfolded. I wasn’t able to stomach the crap that I saw on my Twitter feed, the amateurish ignorance coming from the Left (and some from the Right) boggles the mind.
One thing’s for sure—Palin Derangement Syndrome is alive and well. You can feel the anger and maniacal hatred they have for her, with baseless allegations all over the place. You almost get the feeling that they love tragedies like this–it’s the only way they can justify their anger.
In all the chaos, here’s some words of advice from Stacy McCain:
…[I]t’s just politics, people!
No matter how intense the debate or how serious the issues, no one ought to fear for their safety merely because they become involved in the political process, either as an elected official or any other capacity.
Amen to that.
New Hampshire Republicans love them some Mitt Romney:
Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire in the early stages of the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination, according to a new survey commissioned by NH Journal and conducted by Magellan Strategies. The survey is the first statewide survey of Granite State Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in 2011.
Romney leads former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin by 23 points, with Romney earning 39% and Palin earning 16%. Mike Huckabee (10%), Newt Gingrich (8%), Texas Congressman Ron Paul (7%), former MN Gov. Tim Pawlenty (4%), Rick Santorum (3%) and MS Gov. Haley Barbour (1%) all trail significantly behind. Romney finished second to Sen. John McCain in the 2008 New Hampshire Republican Presidential primary.
In a memo released about the survey, Magellan pollster David Flaherty stated, “This survey is a very early measurement of the potential 2012 Republican Presidential primary field. Mitt Romney’s strength is not surprising considering his close second place finish to John McCain in 2008 and his regional advantage of being a former border state Governor.
It’s January 2011, and polling this far out is a bit of a stretch (just ask President Edwards). And as the pollster alludes to, this poll says more about Romney than it does Sarah Palin. But soon it will be less than a year until the primaries, and the clock really starts ticking.
That being said, it does show that Palin has a long, tough road ahead of her.
[Hat Tip: Hot Air]
Tom Jensen at PPP sizes up the Republican field 22 months out and comes to this conclusion:
My main thought on the Republican Presidential field as 2011 begins is that the party needs someone outside the current top 4 of Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Newt Gingrich to come out of the pack and win the nomination.
Huckabee’s the only one of the top Republicans who has the combination of electability and base appeal it’s going to take to beat Barack Obama. Romney has the electability but not the base appeal, Palin has the base appeal but not the electability, and Gingrich sort of falls in the middle on both counts. A lot will change over the course of 2011 but at least based on the information we have so far Huckabee looks like the GOP’s best bet.
Take the pollsters with a grain of salt, of course. But nevertheless, it’s distressing to see this final four as the GOP nominee. No candidate will have the perfect conservative cred, plus the electability. I understand that.
But half of the contenders right now are–Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney. Wrap your brain around that for a second.
The Tea Party may have dragged the GOP to electoral victory in Congress this past November, and may very well do so again between now and 2012. But the White House? I’m not too sure. Distressing, indeed.
[Hat Tip: Memeorandum]
We’re still too far out from 2012 to put credence into any poll, but this McClatchy-Marist survey is not good for Obama. It’s so bad in fact, that Mitt Romney would win in a potential matchup:
President Barack Obama’s approval ratings have sunk to the lowest level of his presidency, so low that he’d lose the White House to Republican Mitt Romney if the election were held today, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll.
The biggest reason for Obama’s fall: a sharp drop in approval among Democrats and liberals, apparently unhappy with his moves toward the center since he led the party to landslide losses in November’s midterm elections. At the same time, he’s gained nothing among independents.
“He’s having the worst of both worlds right now,” said Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College in New York, which conducted the national survey.
“As he moves to the center, he’s not picking up support among independents and he’s having some fall-off among his base. If his strategy is to gain independents and keep the Democrats in tow, it isn’t working so far.”
Once again, Republicans have a chance to win by default. Not because their candidate is so much better, but because the Democrat just sucks that much more.
Plus, there’s this bit:
[President Obama] easily defeat Republican former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, however. He’d get 52 percent of registered voters and she’d get 40 percent, if the election were held today.
The key in each matchup is independents.
Romney had the best advantage over the president among independents, preferred by 47-39 percent. Independents break for Obama over Huckabee by 42-40 percent. Palin fares much worse among independents. They favor the president over her by 52-35 percent.
For the record, I’m of the belief that the President is doing irreperable harm by
punching the hippies sticking it to his core base of supporters–the progressive/liberal left that mobilized en masse during the 2007-2008, along with various others who were duped by the Greek columns.
That being said, pissing off these people means that Obama is moving towards the center, which is more in tune to where the majority of Americans stand. Nobody really knows how that will affect his bid for reelection.
As for Sarah Palin, I’m pretty much convinced that the best role for her would be as head of the RNC. My
web surfing casual observance of various polls over the past few months show little if any positive news for her if she ran in a national campaign. Her favorables are typically below where they should be, and she rarely fares well in head-to-head matchups with the President. But again, 2012 is a long way off.
The problem with a midterm election victory for conservatism is that squishy moderates feel they’re part of the wave.
To wit, we have George Pataki dipping his toes into the water:
On ABC’s “Top Line” today, former Gov. George Pataki, R-N.Y., told us that – as Palin has said – he’ll run for president if he determines the other Republican candidates don’t offer the right kind of leadership going forward.
“When you look back at the past two years, it’s been very disappointing, not only — not just for Republicans, but for the American people,” Pataki told us. “And I think it shows the importance of experienced leadership — leaders who have shown the ability to govern and to move forward in a nonpartisan way, leaders who have been tested and shown their ability to get through those tests.”
“What I’m going to be looking at is, do we have the right people out there who have that experience, who have experienced leadership, who have been challenged and who can bring people together — not just Republicans and conservatives, but conservatives [and] Democrats. And make a decision on who else is out there, and whether or not they have those characteristics we need to be able to win this election and govern successfully.”
Pataki, like Palin, was a mayor before he was governor.
Running for president takes the right mixture of confidence, arrogance and principled leadership. That mix is what gets supporters energized and enthusiastic, and ideally, leads to success in our politics. By saying things like Meh, sure, I’ll run for president if nobody seriously steps up to the plate, really doesn’t inspire any of those things. That and Pataki running for the White House is doomed to failure.
And just for the record, this blase attitude is wrong for Sarah Palin as well.
The poll shows that the 2012 contest is going to begin right where the 2008 Iowa Caucuses left off, with Mike Huckabee leading Mitt Romney. Huckabee comes out on top of the poll garnering 22 percent, Romney finishes second with 18 percent, and Newt Gingrich finishes surprisingly well with 14 percent in third place. Sarah Palin finishes a disappointing fourth with 11 percent. Texas Congressman Ron Paul garnered 5 percent, while Pawlenty, and South Dakota Senator John Thune each received 1 percent.
Yes it’s still very early. But I have no faith in any of these candidates–not Palin, not Romney, certainly not Huckabee–to be able to win a national election against Barack Obama.
Despite Republican momentum in 2010, which was to be expected, 2012 is light-years away politically speaking. The grassroots activism is certainly a plus, but the RNC is still a rotten apple. It’s virtually a headless operation (thank you Chairman Steele).
And as if things weren’t murky enough, this also stuck out from the Iowa Republican piece:
If there is a surprise in the poll, it’s the strength of Newt Gingrich. Gingrich has been a frequent visitor to Iowa over the past decade. He has headlined events for the Republican Party of Iowa, various political candidates, and held activist workshops across the state. His affection for and understanding of Iowa will definitely be an asset should he seek the Republican nomination.
There’s no doubt in my mind that Gingrich is running. But we have been warned. Gingrich winning the nomination would be a disaster for the Republican party and would ensure four more years of an Obama presidency.
I noticed that PPP has added Newt in their polling for the 2012 GOP nomination:
For our look ahead to the 2012 Presidential race in Arizona this week we added Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul to go along with our usual choices of Mitt Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney. And although we’ll certainly need to see polling from more states to confirm a trend, the numbers suggest a Gingrich candidacy could hurt Palin’s prospects.
Palin and Gingrich both have a unique appeal to the most partisan of Republican voters, but it may be that they see Gingrich as a more substantive and ‘Presidential’ candidate. They could end up competing for the same pool of GOP partisans, and if they both run it may prove to be a good thing for Romney.
Prospects for the 2010 are certainly high, but I’m not too confident about the race for the White House in 2012.
I’m increasingly becoming of the opinion that as conservatives, we are better off if Governor Palin wouldn’t run for President in 2012, not so much because I’m not 100% sure that she could win, but her contributions to the cause are better suited for other uses–like at the RNC, for example. Building up the base, lining up donors, etc.
And about Newt. I’m under no misconception that Newt will not make a run for the nomination in 2012. By all means he will. If the climate for Democrats continues as toxic as it is right now, if all of the momentum that we’re seeing from grassroots conservatives keeps up into the end of the year, then you can take it to the bank—Newt will be throwing his hat into the ring.
That won’t be a good thing neither for the Republican party or conservatism.
Americans are not stupid. We’ve seen this movie before. Newt would be bad news. The Republican party needs to move forward and cultivate younger talent, some new faces. Newt is not the way to do that and the Republican party deserves what it gets if it nominates the former Speaker for 2012.