Home > Democrats, Politics, Republicans > More on the Massachusett(e)s Senate Race; “It’s a Brown out”

More on the Massachusett(e)s Senate Race; “It’s a Brown out”


Democratic desperation and other compelling evidence strongly suggest that Democrats may well lose the late Senator Edward Kennedy’s Senate seat in Tuesday’s special election. Because of this, we are moving our rating of the race from Narrow Advantage for the Incumbent Party to Toss-Up.

Whatever the shortcomings of the Coakley campaign (and they certainly exist), this race has become about change, President Obama and Democratic control of all of the levers of power in Washington, D.C. Brown has “won” the “free media” over the past few days, and if he continues to do so, he will win the election.

Late Democratic efforts to demonize Republican Scott Brown, to make the race into a partisan battle and to use the Kennedy name to drive Democratic voters to the polls could still work. But the advertising clutter in the race works against them, and voters often tune out late messages, which can seem desperate.

The Rothenberg Policital Report has declared the race a toss-up and so has the Cook Political Report.

And this is just breaking, via William Jacobson’s blog:

Riding a wave of opposition to Democratic health-care reform, GOP upstart Scott Brown is leading in the U.S. Senate race, raising the odds of a historic upset that would reverberate all the way to the White House, a new poll shows.

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

The classless and just plain appalling behavior of Martha Coakley  in this campaign has come into plain view in a little over a week, what with the goonish behavior against a Weekly Standard reporter. the stupid, asinine comments, the arrogance.  If anything, every move she makes just highlights the stark differences between the two candidates.

This is such a historic election.  If Brown can pull this out, I think it could stop healthcare reform dead in it’s tracks or at least slow it down considerably.  Just think—a year ago the President wanted a bill on his desk by August.  Here we are in January 2010, and the Democrats have spent the better part of the past 12 months making complete asses of themselves, wasting any political capital they ever had.   I’d rather not get ahead of myself, and I don’t want to jinx it, but a Brown victory could drive the stake right through the heart of a monstrous legislative nightmare.

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