NV-Sen: Reid and Angle in dead heat
Democrats will be hard pressed to find a positive spin on this:
Sen. Harry Reid and Sharron Angle are locked in a dead heat, says a new poll for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and KLAS-TV, Channel 8 that shows the GOP challenger regaining ground after going on the offensive with a TV ad blaming Reid for Nevada’s deep economic troubles.
The high-profile contest with implications for President Barack Obama’s agenda promises to be a bare-knuckled fight to the finish as voters decide between Reid’s promise that the recovery is coming under Democrats and Angle’s call for a new conservative fiscal direction, analysts said.
The new survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research shows Reid and Angle neck and neck. The Senate majority leader would win 43 percent and Angle 42 percent of support from likely Nevada voters if the election were held now. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points on the statewide telephone survey of 625 registered voters taken Monday through Wednesday.
A July 12-14 Mason-Dixon poll showed Reid 7 points ahead of Angle, 44-37. It was the best showing for the four-term incumbent — and the worst for Angle — in a head-to-head matchup, according to a series of surveys for the Review-Journal since last year.
That Reid cannot get over that 50% mark as an incumbent, not to mention Senate majority leader, is really bad news for Democrats, and good news for the people of Nevada.
The Angle campaign needs to go on the offensive and establish the narrative of the midterm elections this campaign–it’s all about the economy:
Since the last poll, Nevada’s record high unemployment jumped to 14.2 percent, something Angle highlights in her first general election ad that notes it was 4.4 percent when Reid became Senate majority leader five years ago. The state also has record high bankruptcy and home foreclosure rates with one in every 15 homes in vote-rich Las Vegas in foreclosure.
Despite Reid’s efforts, a vast majority of Nevada voters remain unhappy with Democratic leaders and the direction of the country, the poll shows, which hurts his chances of winning come Nov. 2.
Six out of 10 voters think the country is on the wrong track, while more than half disapprove of the job Obama is doing. Four out of 10 think his actions to stabilize the economy are hurting, while three in 10 believe they are improving things.
The Angle campaign needs to drive home the point that Reid and the Democrats are bad news for their economic health.