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It’s Obama vs Clinton in New Jersey’s 9th CD
I never really bought into the notion that there’s a friendly peace between the Obamas and the Clintons. Sure, Bill Clinton is campaigning for Obama, Hillary is the Secretary of State, and all appears to be tranquil in Democrat land. But I still don’t buy it.
I’m old enough to remember the political cage-match that was the 2008 Democratic primary, with its ugly charges of racism, the ‘pimping’ of Chelsea, the whole bit. Despite her bitter loss, Hillary still wants to be president, and I have no doubt that she will make another go of it. (I’ll leave the speculation as to whether she replaces Biden on the ticket this year or makes a solid run in 2016, for another time).
All that being said, there’s a literal endorsement battle between the two for Democrat candidates down ticket, one specifically in a congressional race here in New Jersey:
A top Obama campaign adviser is taking sides in a member-versus-member primary in New Jersey, with senior adviser David Axelrod set to campaign for Rep. Steve Rothman (D-N.J.), according to a national Democratic aide.
Rothman faces Rep. Bill Pascrell in a North Jersey district that was merged by redistricting.
[…]
Bill Clinton endorsed Pascrell this month, making this race the seventh in which he has supported a Hillary-endorsing candidate against an Obama backer.
The Pascrell campaign thinks so highly of Clinton, he made it to their latest campaign ad:
For what it’s worth, Pascrell’s district is a predominantly middle class, blue collar constituency, whereas Rothman’s former district included a sizable portion of the more affluent Bergen County which is closer to Manhattan, consisting of upper-middle class NYC commuters, and a growing immigrant population. Demographically, there’s a noticeable difference between the two, but both districts are solid blue Democrat.
And then there’s this–a source I know with knowledge of the Pascrell campaign implied that there was a financial strain on both camps because of the redistricting fight, but acknowledged the Pascrell got “a boost from the Clinton endorsement,” adding “…[Clinton’s] favorables are much better than Obama, even in the cities.”
The primary’s on June 5th, and I’m thinking Pascrell wins the district, based on the demographics I mentioned and it could very well be that the Clinton endorsement puts him over the top. I’d be interested to see how the other Obama vs Clinton endorsements in other CDs go, and I’m sure the Obama campaign will be keeping an eye on that as well.
Gallup: 40% approval for Obama, lowest of his administration to date
Notice the disapproval rating is up to 52% as well.
Here’s an interesting bit from Gallup’s write-up:
The crucial period for Obama will begin after Labor Day, given the relative quiet on the political front that should be the case before then. Obama will generate some news coverage this week with his bus tour through Minnesota, Iowa, and Illinois, but after that, he has a scheduled vacation on Martha’s Vineyard, during which he will be largely out of the news — barring some major crisis.
[…]
If the president is not able to turn around the negative momentum in his ratings during the fall months, it may be more and more difficult for him to do so as the presidential campaign begins in earnest next year.
The White House is getting the word out that a “jobs plan” is on the way. Sometime in September, after his vacation. There is no urgency here on the President’s part, as millions are without work. And any plan he has will probably include more spending, useless targeted tax credits and the like.
This administration and its ideology are out of ideas, and it shows.
What a mess
Less than two hours ago, I returned from a truly relaxing five-day trip to Harwich Port in Cape Cod. Trying to actually enjoy a relaxing time, I tried as hard as I could to stay away from Mets baseball, the status of the NFL lockout, and more importantly, the debt ceiling negotiations on Capitol Hill.
As I was driving back earlier today, I realized that the Mets just swept a four-game series with the Reds, the lockout is officially over and…well, yeah.
The debt ceiling deadline has been staring Washington in the face since last year. Neither President Obama nor the Democrats in Congress bothered to address the issue, even when they had their majorities in both chambers. So of course, the big news today is that Speaker Boehner and the Republican leaders, not to mentioned the so-called Republican “conservatives” in the pundit class, are willing to shoot the Tea Party conservatives in the back of the head, figuratively speaking of course, in the name of waiting for 2012. Or something.
Heckuva job guys.
An update of today’s events here.
Bachmann’s migraine “problem”
It doesn’t get much dumber than this. Caught this screenshot last night off of the WaPo website. Idiocy on parade:
This is from a “serious” political pundit, people us rubes need to really listen to and take seriously when it comes to politics in Washington. Apparently forcing a conservative Republican woman to release a doctor’s note confirming she has migraines, and that said migraines might negate her ability to be President are of paramount concern to our media overlords.
When you want to see Obama’s birth certificate however, or ask questions about his past drug use, well then clearly we need to STFU because we’re all racists.
On NY-26
The professional Left has a serious case of the vapors over the Democrat Kathleen Hochul winning this special election in upstate New York.
The conventional wisdom is that this is a rebuke of the Ryan plan for Medicare, and of course, tons of left-wing idiocy is afoot.
Both are wrong of course.
Special elections are always hinky affairs at best. With a fake tea party candidate in the race and the previous seat holder disgraced in a Craig’s List dating scandal, this wasn’t anything approaching “at best” for Republicans.
The NY GOP just sucks at these (as does the party nationally). They lost NY-20 when Kirsten Gillibrand was named to the Senate. They lost NY-23 when John McHugh was named Secretary of the Army (that was the whole Dede Scozzafava v. Doug Hoffman race). The one win was the race to replace Eric “The Tickler” Massa in NY-29 but that special was held concurrently with the general election last November.
The party picked candidates (NY doesn’t allow for primaries in specials, the county chairs name candidates) in NY-20 and NY-23 did lousy jobs.
That pretty much sums it up.
Ultimately, for those who think this was a rejection of the GOP’s medicare reform efforts, they’ll have to explain who the GOP candidate and the Tea Party candidate combined got more votes than the Democrat.
Read the whole post.
This was more of a special election issue, rather than a position on Medicare reform.
Who’s talking…